Part IA, 2003, Paper 2
Part IA, 2003, Paper 2
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2.I.1D
commentConsider the equation
Using small line segments, sketch the flow directions in implied by the right-hand side of . Find the general solution (i) in , (ii) in .
Sketch a solution curve in each of the three regions , and .
2.I.2D
commentConsider the differential equation
where is a positive constant. By using the approximate finite-difference formula
where is a positive constant, and where denotes the function evaluated at for integer , convert the differential equation to a difference equation for .
Solve both the differential equation and the difference equation for general initial conditions. Identify those solutions of the difference equation that agree with solutions of the differential equation over a finite interval in the limit , and demonstrate the agreement. Demonstrate that the remaining solutions of the difference equation cannot agree with the solution of the differential equation in the same limit.
[You may use the fact that, for bounded .]
2.II.5D
comment(a) Show that if is an integrating factor for an equation of the form
then .
Consider the equation
in the domain . Using small line segments, sketch the flow directions in that domain. Show that is an integrating factor for the equation. Find the general solution of the equation, and sketch the family of solutions that occupies the larger domain .
(b) The following example illustrates that the concept of integrating factor extends to higher-order equations. Multiply the equation
by , and show that the result takes the form , for some function to be determined. Find a particular solution such that with finite at , and sketch its graph in .
2.II.7D
commentConsider the linear system
where the -vector and the matrix are given; has constant real entries, and has distinct eigenvalues and linearly independent eigenvectors . Find the complementary function. Given a particular integral , write down the general solution. In the case show that the complementary function is purely oscillatory, with no growth or decay, if and only if
Consider the same case with trace and and with
where are given real constants. Find a particular integral when
(i) and ;
(ii) but .
In the case
with , find the solution subject to the initial condition at .
2.II.8D
commentFor all solutions of
show that where
In the case , analyse the properties of the critical points and sketch the phase portrait, including the special contours for which . Comment on the asymptotic behaviour, as , of solution trajectories that pass near each critical point, indicating whether or not any such solution trajectories approach from, or recede to, infinity.
Briefly discuss how the picture changes when is made small and positive, using your result for to describe, in qualitative terms, how solution trajectories cross -contours.
2.I.3F
comment(a) Define the probability generating function of a random variable. Calculate the probability generating function of a binomial random variable with parameters and , and use it to find the mean and variance of the random variable.
(b) is a binomial random variable with parameters and is a binomial random variable with parameters and , and and are independent. Find the distribution of ; that is, determine for all possible values of .
2.I.4F
commentThe random variable is uniformly distributed on the interval . Find the distribution function and the probability density function of , where
2.II.10F
commentThe random variables and each take values in , and their joint distribution is given by
Find necessary and sufficient conditions for and to be (i) uncorrelated; (ii) independent.
Are the conditions established in (i) and (ii) equivalent?
2.II.11F
commentA laboratory keeps a population of aphids. The probability of an aphid passing a day uneventfully is . Given that a day is not uneventful, there is probability that the aphid will have one offspring, probability that it will have two offspring and probability that it will die, where . Offspring are ready to reproduce the next day. The fates of different aphids are independent, as are the events of different days. The laboratory starts out with one aphid.
Let be the number of aphids at the end of the first day. What is the expected value of ? Determine an expression for the probability generating function of .
Show that the probability of extinction does not depend on , and that if then the aphids will certainly die out. Find the probability of extinction if and .
[Standard results on branching processes may be used without proof, provided that they are clearly stated.]
2.II.12F
commentPlanet Zog is a ball with centre . Three spaceships and land at random on its surface, their positions being independent and each uniformly distributed on its surface. Calculate the probability density function of the angle formed by the lines and .
Spaceships and can communicate directly by radio if , and similarly for spaceships and and spaceships and . Given angle , calculate the probability that can communicate directly with either or . Given angle , calculate the probability that can communicate directly with both and . Hence, or otherwise, show that the probability that all three spaceships can keep in in touch (with, for example, communicating with via if necessary) is .
2.II.9F
commentState the inclusion-exclusion formula for the probability that at least one of the events occurs.
After a party the guests take coats randomly from a pile of their coats. Calculate the probability that no-one goes home with the correct coat.
Let be the probability that exactly guests go home with the correct coats. By relating to , or otherwise, determine and deduce that